Andrew Bartels

VP, Principal Analyst

Forrester Bio

Author Insights

Blog

IBM’s Q1 2010 Results In Align With Our Expectations — A Bellwether for Other Vendor Results To Come

Andrew Bartels April 21, 2010
TECH DEVELOPMENTS: Like half a dozen Forrester colleagues, I have been stuck in London since last week due to the Icelandic volcano's disruption of air travel.  So, this allows me a UK perspective on IBM's results for Q1 2010.   These turned out to be very much what I expected (see "US And Global IT Market […]
Read More
Blog

The Tech Recovery of 2010 Is Underway

Andrew Bartels April 8, 2010
As I predicted in January 2010 (see January 11, 2010, "US and Global IT Market Outlook: Q4 2009"), a tech recovery has started in the US and around the world.  In my updated IT market forecast (see April 8, 2010, "US and Global IT Market Outlook: Q1 2010"), I point out that IT market indicators […]
Read More
Blog

Launching A New Blog On Tech Economics

Andrew Bartels March 18, 2010
With Forrester’s new blogging platform in place, I have the opportunity to launch a series of blogs about tech economics.  What do I mean by tech economics?  To me, tech economics first means how the larger economy and the tech sector interact.  I am interested both in how economic conditions impact the demand for technology […]
Read More
Blog

Q4 2009 IT Market Data As We Expected Shows End of Tech Downturn

Andrew Bartels February 1, 2010
The first reports on the IT market in Q4 2009 are now in, and they are in line with our prediction that the tech market recession ended in that quarter (see US And Global IT Market Outlook: Q4 2009). Overall, the tech market in Q4 2009 was more or less flat with the same quarter […]
Read More
Blog

Global Tech Recovery Will Drive US IT Market Growth Of 6.6% And 8.2% Globally (In Dollars) In 2010

Andrew Bartels January 12, 2010
2009 was a miserable year for tech vendors, especially for sellers of capital equipment like PCs, servers, routers, and licensed software, and for systems integrators who helped implement that software.   2010 will be a much better year, especially for these very same vendors.   We’re not talking boom yet, so we are not predicting double-digit growth […]
Read More
Blog

Smart Computing Will Create Growth Opportunities — and Challenges — for IT Vendors

Andrew Bartels December 10, 2009
Since 2004, I have been arguing in my research that the tech market would enter a new cycle of innovation and growth starting in 2008. This thesis was based on my review of the US tech market since the 1950s, which showed a pattern of eight-to-ten year cycles of strong growth in tech purchases, followed […]
Read More
Blog

As Expected, Data on Q3 2009 US IT Market Showing Continued Decline, But With Signs of Nearing Bottom

Andrew Bartels October 29, 2009
This morning, the US Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis released preliminary data on the US Gross Domestic Product in Q 3 2009, which included data on business investment in computer equipment, software, and other IT equipment (principally communications equipment).  The headline news is the 3.5% increase in real GDP in the US from […]
Read More
Blog

Forrester’s Updated IT Market Forecast Shows Worse 2009, But Still Positive Outlook for 2010

Andrew Bartels September 29, 2009
In our latest US and Global IT market forecast (http://www.forrester.com/go?docid=53305), Forrester stays steady with our June 2009 projections that the US tech market will start to recover from the downturn in Q4 2009, with the global tech market improving in 2010. However, the 2009 growth rate now shows a bigger decline than our earlier forecasts, […]
Read More
Blog

IBM Moves Ahead In Smart Computing, But Still Has Ways To Go

Andrew Bartels July 10, 2009
IBM threw a big event in New York City on Thursday, October 1, and Friday, October 2, to publicize its Smarter Cities initiative, part of its Smarter Planet marketing message. The event featured an impressive list of politicians (Mayor Bloomberg, NY Governor Patterson, governors from Vermont and North Carolina) and CEOs (CEOs from ABB, Verizon, […]
Read More